PHALIN THAKKAR

A good fit does not name the cause

What does a residual pattern suggest, and what additional check would test its cause?

Note 3 · Explanatory note

Analytical result · Hypothetical examples are not physical measurements.

Define a residual as ri = yi − Ipred(ai). For unequal known reading uncertainties, also examine standardized residuals ri/σi.

A constant positive residual may suggest an omitted additive background. A wrong intensity scale tends to leave a pattern following cos²θ. A small angular zero offset δ can produce:

I0cos⁡2(θ−δ)−I0cos⁡2θ≈I0δsin⁡2θ.I_0\cos^2(\theta-\delta)-I_0\cos^2\theta \approx I_0\delta\sin2\theta.

This expression uses small δ in radians.

These patterns help form hypotheses. They do not uniquely identify a faulty component. Different instrumental effects can produce similar patterns, while fitting an extra parameter can absorb a bias.

In the existing example, every point is 8 counts too high. An added background term removes the constant residual. A separate dark reading would help test whether detector background explains it. If the source drifts during a sweep, randomizing or reversing the measurement order provides a different check.

Synthetic residual illustration: an added 8 counts
Residual (counts)002.5455907.513510180Analyzer angle (degrees)
  • Synthetic reading minus prediction
  • Constant residual
Calculated data: Synthetic residual illustration: an added 8 counts
Analyzer angle (degrees); Residual (counts). Display values rounded; calculations use full precision.
SeriesAnalyzer angle (degrees)Residual (counts)
Synthetic reading minus prediction08
Synthetic reading minus prediction158
Synthetic reading minus prediction308
Synthetic reading minus prediction458
Synthetic reading minus prediction608
Synthetic reading minus prediction758
Synthetic reading minus prediction908
Synthetic reading minus prediction1058
Synthetic reading minus prediction1208
Synthetic reading minus prediction1358
Synthetic reading minus prediction1508
Synthetic reading minus prediction1658
Constant residual08
Constant residual1808

Continue the reasoning

Finding the hidden direction

Where the reference intensity belongs

All twelve notes

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